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Week 16 NFL Picks

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Buffalo at Atlanta There’s plenty of issues with the Falcons right now,  but the Bills cannot exploit their issues, and the advantage at home is great enough for me to think that they can win comfortably.

Kansas City at Cincinnati Cincinnati has lost two games in a row, and really needs to clinch the division this week before it begins to slip away.  In comes Kansas City, to ensure that the Bengals will get it done.

Oakland at Cleveland James Harrison had his day in the sun last week, but now Derek Anderson is back in for the Browns, and Charlie Frye can finally get some measure of revenge.  The Raiders must be quicker on defense than the Browns offensive line to win, and should be.

Seattle at Green Bay The Packers find themselves in the same boat as the Bengals.  You want to make the playoffs?  Get it done against an inferior opponent tonight, and most likely, things will take care of themselves.  The Packers are one of the strongest teams in the NFC, and they’ll clinch this week with some help.

Houston at Miami All week, I’ve figured that Miami would win this one with their backs against the wall, including in my projections for the AFC playoff race.  One problem.  The Texans will not go quietly.  I think there is a high probability that Houston can be outcoached, but they are the much better team, and the much better team usually wins.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh Ben Roethlisberger did not play in the first meeting between the two teams, which went to overtime.  Joe Flacco did struggle, but outplayed Dennis Dixon at got the win.  Pittsburgh plays in their home finale today, and they need a win to stay relevant.  The Steelers will live for one more week.

Carolina at New York Giants More than the Redskins quitting on the season, the Giants played their most complete game.  They won’t have to be quite as good this week to be just as victorious.

Jacksonville at New England So many players on the out and out for New England this week that it’s a team that could be looking at the fourth seed in the conference.  For all of their problems this year, the Patriots would move to 8-0 with a home win.  Jacksonville absolutely has to have this one, but I predict the New England defense comes up bigger, later to seal it.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans This has a chance to be a good one…into the second quarter.  Saints.

St. Louis at Arizona The Cardinals have really struggled the last two weeks, but at the end of the day, one team has Kurt Warner, and the other has Keith Null.  Keith Null…is no Ryan Fitzpatrick.  Cards.

Detroit at San Francisco The Drew Stanton era starts this week for the Lions.  A fast 49ers defense ensures that this era ends next week.

Denver at Philadelphia After becoming the only team in NFL history to give up a game clinching TD to JaMarcus Russell, the Broncos need an excellent game plan to recover and beat the hottest team in the NFC, Philadelphia.  They’ll get a barn burner, but ultimately, Kyle Orton just can’t throw the ball like he needs to in order to win in December.

New York Jets at Indianapolis The Jets aren’t going to be able to generate points on the road, even if the Colts pull their starters in the first quarter.  If Peyton Manning and co. can put just 14 points on the board, this will be a comfortable win for the Colts that the starters won’t have to finish.

Dallas at Washington The Cowboys have shown the ability to finish games, which is the critical skill in division games such as this one.  The Redskins sit at 0-5 in the division this year, so the Cowboys will get everything they have.  It will be enough to lead in the third quarter, but the Redskins defense is like clockwork: if they hold a six point lead with 5 minutes to go, they know it’s time to give it up.

Minnesota at Chicago Things are about to get very, very bad in Minnesota, because the Chicago Bears are going to win their home finale, and Minnesota is about to fall out of having the bye week in the NFC.  It’s going to be a long practice week for the men in purple.

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