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This team is, um, not what we were expecting to see.

The cold, hard truth though is that the Denver Broncos team everyone expected to see in March wouldn’t have gotten any closer to winning a championship than this team will.  The Broncos were heavily flawed, and the free agent signings that new head Josh McDaniels and G.M. Brian Xanders recommended to fix the defense were questionable moves.  They signed Andra Davis, who couldn’t play in Cleveland.  They signed Andre Goodman to replace Dre Bly, but he’s 31.  And, in an absolute stunner, they gave Brian Dawkins 18 million reasons to ditch the Eagles.

This was not change that the Broncos fans could believe in.  So then, McDaniels curiously contacted organization members from his old digs with the Patriots, and inquired sheepishly on the price of backup QB Matt Cassel, who in the right situation, in the right offense could thrive under him in Denver.

The theoretically harmless inquiry sent franchise quarterback Jay Cutler into a complete spazz-out, demanding to the organization that McDaniels apologize to him or give him his walking papers.  A face-to-face meeting between the two egos did not help anything, and after Cutler ignored calls from his owner, Pat Bowlen, for three days, Bowlen made the brash decision to deal his franchise quarterback.

The decision is not nearly as wrongheaded as you think.  Despite everything that suggested that the Broncos had no leverage in the situation, Cutler’s value will never be higher in the future than it was this offseason when the Broncos traded him.  He still had three years remaining on his rookie deal.  He was 25 at the time of the trade, and is currently 26.  He’s coming off a pro-bowl year, one in which he threw for more than 4,500 yards, best in the AFC.  Oh, did I mention he’s only 26, and well-established?

But Cutler has some serious flaws in his game that may prevent him from taking the otherwise obvious leap to stardom anytime soon.  For one thing, Cutler has a terrible issue with locking on his number one receiver and ignoring the progression on certain plays.  No player was targeted more in the NFL last year than Brandon Marshall was, and he didn’t even play in week one.  In Chicago’s first preseason game, Cutler threw half of his ten passes at Devin Hester.  Some habits die hard.

The other thing is, Cutler was playing behind a cushy line in Denver with two developing receiving options, and a tight end who could stretch defenses vertically.  For their efforts, Denver had the 7 most valuable passing attack by DVOA (although, significantly above the average).  Something doesn’t add up here.  If Cutler is so great, why is Philip Rivers doing more against similar competition with less?  If Cutler is so great, why does he have quarterback ratings of 88.5, 88.1, and 86.0 in his three years as a starter.  Where the hell is all this greatness?

Cutler’s allure is in the prospect of his future value.  The Chicago Bears dealt two first round picks, a third round pick, and Kyle Orton to the Broncos for Cutler, and they feel like they are getting a franchise quarterback.  They probably are.  But the Broncos dealt a prospective talent at the height of his value when they felt like the team was too flawed to make it to the playoffs in the next season.  There is little doubt that Cutler would have continued to flourish in Denver, but there is doubt that he will do so in Chicago.  But the price was so obscenely high, it’s hard to blame the Broncos for moving Cutler when they did.

What’s less defensible is the moves the Broncos have made since dealing Jay Cutler.  Their draft was less than stellar.  They landed a wide range of talented prospects, boom or bust prospects, and situational players with their massive Cutler haul.  At this point, the cost of the Cutler trade has completely come off the books from the Broncos perspective, thanks to a draft day trade that will cost them a first rounder in next year’s draft, likely in the top five.

So, counting Denver’s own first day picks in the consideration of total trade value, here’s a complete list of all the players picked by the team, or made possible for selection by the team:

1. QB Kyle Orton
2. RB Knowshon Moreno
3. LB Robert Ayers
4. CB Alphonso Smith
5. S Darcel McBath
6. TE Richard Quinn

And that’s it, including two picks the Broncos already had in that draft-frame.  This is the Jay Cutler haul in it’s entirety.  If we be like Brian Burke, and estimate the difference between Cutler and Orton at 2.1 wins per season (which is quite substantial), it’s easy to see a scenario where the Broncos win the trade, but it’s far from certain.  When you factor in that estimates have a value of an average first round pick at 4-5 wins over the life of the rookie deal, and a second round pick at 2-3 wins over the life of the rookie deal, Denver needs to get 3.5 wins per year (over replacement) out of the total combination of players 2-6 in order to “win” this trade.

Is this possible?  It’s not possible without significant contribution from players in premium positions.  This is completely oversimplifying, but the Broncos win the Cutler trade if two players out of this group: Moreno, Ayers, and Smith become stars at the NFL level, while McBath and Quinn simply fill holes.  Anything less, and the Broncos probably lose the Cutler trade.

Because of the fact that the Broncos dealt a likely top ten pick for Smith in the second round, you have to treat him like a third first round pick, since that’s obviously how the Broncos view him.  It’s admirable that the Broncos gave up their own draft choice instead of Chicago’s, which is almost certain to be higher, but it may prove to be simply foolish.

The Broncos can’t compete with teams who didn’t tear down their rosters because they didn’t improve their defense in free agency, they just got older.  Their defensive line is purely replacement level, they are undergoing a scheme change while understaffed, and this defense features all of three players who have ever been successful in this league.  One is Dawkins.  The other is all-pro corner Champ Bailey.  The last is linebacker D.J. Williams. None of those players know how to play the defensive line, so teams will gash Denver with the run early and often.

The Broncos will bank on the fact that a high scoring offense will force opponents to put the ball in the air against guys like Bailey, Dawkins, and Smith, and that Nolan can do something to force pressure on the quarterback.  If they force offenses to be one-dimensional, the defense will have a shot, although that didn’t make a difference with Bailey injured last year.

But that’s where they needed Cutler, and now, as it looks like they will pound the rock with Moreno and Correll Buckhalter and Peyton Hillis and Lamont Jordan, they have to be beyond efficient for this offense to work?  Can it?  Probably not.

But given where the Broncos would have been had they kept Cutler, you could argue it was worth the shot.

Broncos Camp, Englewood, CO

The Broncos feature a can’t miss TV battle at wide receiver, a quarterback controversy that is not yet worth mentioning, completely pointless defensive camp battles, and head coach smarm and arrogance the whole way though.

Wide receiver (flanker): Brandon Marshall vs. Brandon Lloyd vs. Kenny McKinley

If Brandon Marshall wants to see himself in five years, he needs only to look at Brandon Lloyd.  With McKinley as a second day draft pick, Lloyd’s career might be over.

Wide receiver (slot): Chad Jackson vs. Nate Swift

Jackson, the second round picks of the Patriots in 2006 is getting a second chance here with the Broncos as a slot receiver.  He might be able to succeed in his new role, but he’s fallen behind the undrafted Swift who has better special teams value.

Offensive line: Clint Oldenburg vs. Mitch Erickson vs. Blake Schulueter

One of these guys will help fill out the roster, and it’s Schulueter who leads because he was chosen by McDaniels in the 7th round out of TCU as a potential replacement to Casey Wiegmann in a year or two.

Defensive line: Matthias Askew vs. LeKevin Smith vs. Carlton Powell

The Broncos will likely keep Powell for his size, which makes this an athleticism (Smith) vs. consistency (Askew) battle as the final DE on a complete no-name line.

Linebacker: Jarvis Moss vs. Mario Haggan

The ballad of Jarvis Moss ends with the name Mario Haggan.  Clearly, the Broncos have no use for Moss, and he’s only at training camp because it allows him to keep the bonus money paid to him as a 2007 first round draft pick.

Safety: Josh Barrett vs. Vernon Fox

Barrett, a physical safety from Arizona State with good speed, offers more upside than the journeyman Vernon Fox.  Both are solid special teams players, and if all the Broncos are looking for is a ‘teams guy, Fox offers a small edge there.

Punter: Brett Kern vs. Britton Colquitt

The Colquitt’s may be the Manning’s of NFL special teams, but Brett Kern was the one who performed well last year.

Surprise Cuts?

• RB Lamont Jordan
• RB Correll Buckhalter
• TE Tony Sheffler
• LB Andra Davis
• S Renaldo Hill

Previous Roster Roundouts: Bills, Rams, Bengals, Chiefs, Saints, Jaguars, Packers, Raiders, Vikings, Browns, Buccaneers, Dolphins, Colts, Lions, Cardinals, Chargers, Eagles, Titans, 49ers, Panthers, Giants, Texans, Falcons, Jets

Since football returned to Baltimore, it’s hard to pick a single word that describes this Ravens franchise.  It’s much easier to just use bone crushing highlights and no words.  The team has relied on brute force ever since re-inventing themselves as the Ravens, and that force shows up in everything the team does: the power running game, the stingy run defense, the hard hitting style they’ve employed since 1996, and the emotion that is funneled down through the team leaders and permeates the roster.

Last year, the Ravens re-invented themselves as one other thing: thinkers.

Coming off a 4-12 season and an overtime loss to a hapless Dolphins team that was anything but scrappy, something had to be done.  They fired Brian Billick who was the team’s only super bowl winning coach in history: that’s a history that goes back to Cleveland, when they were the Browns.  One of the most successful pre-merger NFL franchises had only a few moments despite the fact that three of the greatest coaches ever were on this franchises’ sideline: Paul Brown, Marty Schottenheimer, and Bill Belichick.  When the Ravens hired Billick in 1999, they were expecting him to re-invent their offense to look something like the downfield, explosive, three receiver attack that was featured by the Minnesota Vikings.

Only problem was that, instead of finding the next Randy Moss or Cris Carter, the team ran out an endless line of Qadry Ismails, Travis Taylors, Brandon Stokelys, and Marcus Robinsons at the receiver position.  At no point were things more ridiculous than 2003 when the Ravens made the playoffs….with a base 1 WR, 2 TE, 2 RB offense.  The franchise’s leading receiver is TE Todd Heap, who is a blocking tight end with functional athletcism.  The team signed Derrick Mason away from Tennessee in 2005 and he really has made all the difference in the passing game, which went from inept to merely boring overnight.

So in place of Billick’s non-offense, the team hired young John Harbaugh, a man whose reputation is tied up more in his surname than by his past.  But Harbaugh was refreshing because he showed an adept knowledge of both offensive and defensive talent, and a creativity to use his players correctly without limiting two of the better coordinators in the game: Cam Cameron and Rex Ryan.

Ryan left for the NY Jets head coaching job, and took LB Bart Scott with him, so the Ravens are working a little shorthanded in the middle of the defense with an aging Ray Lewis and a developmental prospect (Tavares Gooden) at inside linebacker.  But how many years in the franchises existence has this defense been among the best in the NFL?  It’s not like Rex Ryan was reaching heights his predecessors had never seen, the Ravens defense incrementally increased from a league worst in 1996 (Lewis’ rookie season) to the league’s best unit by 1999.  In the last ten years, the Ravens have ranked in the top ten in defensive DVOA every season, in the top TWO 6 times, and I saved the most mind boggling stat for last…the last time the Ravens were a below average run defense–they were the Browns.

I’d venture to say there has never been a better defensive decade of dominance than the 2000′s Ravens.  Not the Steel Curtain, not the Doomsday defense, not the no-name defense, not the Ditka Bears.  No one in history has been this good for this long.  Just look at what’s happening to the Bucs.  In some ways, I think the case for the 2000 Ravens defense as the greatest of all time (it probably wasn’t the greatest Ravens defense of the decade) gets overstated, and it overshadows the fact that these guys are fantastic every year.

In short, they’ll do fine without Rex Ryan.  Haloti Ngata is scarier anyway.

What you can question, is the offense.  Last year, the Ravens figured out what the Ravens before them never could: you can shape a passing offense around the strengths of a flawed passer.  In previous years, Brian Billick wasted lots of time trying to shuffle quarterbacks in and out trying to find a guy who could run his system.  No one could.  So in comes Cameron, and he stripped down the offense to bare bolts.  The play design was basic, yet creative: unbalanced lines, two fullback backfields, primarily blocking tight ends, double moves and deep in routes from the receivers, and a quarterback who could fit the ball into tight spaces.  And the results were fantastic in the running game, and functional in the passing game.  It’s a combination that had not been seen since 2000 when Jamal Lewis was chewing up the yards despite no threat of the pass.  And more significantly, it clicked right from the first snap.

This year’s problem is two fold: there’s been some deck shuffling with the personnel, and at some point, young Joe Flacco’s development has to become a priority.  He got his feet wet in the NFL last year, and got valuable playoff experience, but he needs to show he can be successful with a higher pass to run ratio, and in a more wide open offensive scheme (i.e. anything).  Frankly, the Ravens still have no idea what they have in Flacco in terms of a franchise quarterback, and probably won’t until the end of this season.

What they will feature this year is the do-it-all tailback that Willis McGahee never was: Ray Rice.  McGahee will still have his niche in the offense, but this season will be about getting touches for the second year back, and about the development of Rice as a runner, a pass blocker, and a receiver.  This also represents a land mark in Flacco’s development: it takes great confidence in your quarterback to move in one offseason from a run-first, run-second, throw-third-only-if-unsuccessful twice mentality to one build around third and fourth reads (and running).  But Flacco executed so well in his first preseason game that there appears to be little to worry about.  This is what he did at Delaware.

So that brings us to the most uncertain of units going into this year: the offensive line.  It’s a young line that’s just oozing with talent: it features a fourth year player, two third year players, and a rookie.  But it lost it’s young Center to free agency (St. Louis), and in his place is former pro-bowl center Matt Birk.  With first round rookie Michael Oher playing the right tackle position, you could argue that they’ve universally upgraded the talent, but Birk is not as durable as the man he replaces, Jason Brown, and there are questions about the long term viability of RG Chris Chester, and that perhaps third year G Marshal Yanda would be a quick fix there.  Add in some natural rookie struggles against speed rushers from Oher, and you can see how this unit might have a limiting effect on Flacco.  But if they gel quickly, they have two future pro-bowlers on the left side in Jared Gaither and Ben Grubbs, and a unit-wide maulers mentality to boot.

The Ravens’ schedule this year is one they will find generally unfavorable, but with that said, they are probably the best top to bottom team in the AFC North.  I didn’t even mention the present day receivers, because they happen to be the same two guys that have graced the position since Mark Clayton broke into the starting lineup in 2006, and despite a quick bout with retirement from Derrick Mason, appear to be as successful a duo this year as ever.  If I’m wrong though, and they aren’t the best team, the Browns and Bengals are both good enough to the point where the fact that only one team in the division plays either the Patriots or the Colts (this would be the Ravens) could determine who gets the final playoff seed in the AFC.

But the Ravens have never been a team defined by their schedule.  Given the above, the word I would use to define them, simply: successful.

Ravens Camp, Westminster, MD

Camp battles are all the rage in Baltimore.

Running back: Jalen Parmalee vs. Cedric Peerman

Peerman, an explosive runner from Virginia will battle with Parmalee for the No. 3 RB spot, which isn’t just an honorary position this season.  With LeRon McClain back at fullback, doing the opening of holes, there’s going to be carries to go around.  Parmalee is ahead on the depth chart, but I think he’s a slight underdog, Peerman is just too good to be overlooked after being picked in the 6th round.

Wide receiver: Yamon Figurs vs. Justin Harper vs. Biren Early

The good news for Yamon Figurs is that while he struggled on kick returns for the first time in his career last year, there have been positive developments regarding his value to the Ravens offense.  He remains a favorite to stave off undrafteds Harper and Early.

Right guard: Chris Chester vs. Marshal Yanda

The contingency plan had Matt Birk re-upped with Minnesota would have ben Marshal Yanda at RG, and then a camp battle between Chester and a veteran center of lesser quality.  The team likes Yanda, and while Chester is a virtual certainty to win at this point, it wouldn’t be all that surprising to see the team let him walk in the offseason and see what Yanda can do in 2010.

Offensive line: Tre Stallings vs. Bryan Mattison vs. David Hale

The Ravens have roster filler lineman of the “you maybe have heard of these guys” variety.  As mentioned above, Chester’s versatility means that there is no telling which of these guys will make it though (Hale is nominally the no. 2 Center).  I think Mattison has the best chance, after that, your guess is as good as mine.

Defensive line: Kelly Tavalou vs. Brandon McKinney vs. Will Johnson

Some relative no-names are competing to fill out the Ravens roster on the defensive line.  Tavalou played well against Washington while McKinney appeared in 11 games last year.  Will Johnson may be the odd man out.

Outside linebacker: Prescott Burgess vs. Will VanderSteeg

Burgess has the versatility to hold his spot on the Ravens roster.  As a 6th round pick from Michigan two years ago, he played some special teams as a rookie in 2007.  Now, VanderSteeg tries to unseat him, though he’s not likely to make it past the third preseason game.

Inside linebacker: Jameel McClain vs. Jason Phillips vs. Dannell Ellerbe

This is the most fascinating of all the camp battles.  We have one or two inside linebacker spots available behind Ray Lewis, Brenden Ayanbedejo, and Tavares Gooden.  McClain brings experience, but is expendable.  Phillips and Ellerbe were both top draft prospects at the same position and Phillips slid to the fifth round where the Ravens took him as a developmental prospect.  However, they signed Ellerbe for competition as an undrafted free agent.

So how’s this for a camp battle.  The winner is the successor to Ray Lewis in one of the greatest defensive units of all time.  The loser is cut and risks becoming a nobody in the NFL.

Cornerback: Chris Carr vs. Frank Walker

Frank Walker was signed last year with some relative fanfare, but with Chris Carr coming over from Tennessee and the Ravens using their 3rd round pick on a corner, it doesn’t much look like Walker is in the plans.  The Ravens do like to keep 10 DBs, so he’s got a chance, but he won’t unseat Carr, and time is running out to hold his spot as the team’s dime back.

Kicker: Steven Hauschka vs. Graham Gano

This is a hardcore kicker battle to replace Matt Stover.  Hauschka had kickoff duties last year and attempted some field goals, but it’s hard to pass up the allure of a once-a-decade leg like Gano’s.  He’s got accuracy issues, and the Ravens perhaps cannot afford to go through this year with an inconsistent kicking game, but Stover’s not here which means that either way, they are venturing into the unknown.

Surprise Cuts?

• WR Demetrius Williams
• TE L.J. Smith
• G Chris Chester
• DE Dwan Edwards
• CB Samari Rolle

Previous Roster Roundouts: Bills, Rams, Bengals, Chiefs, Saints, Jaguars, Packers, Raiders, Vikings, Browns, Buccaneers, Dolphins, Colts, Lions, Cardinals, Chargers, Eagles, Titans, 49ers, Panthers, Giants, Texans, Falcons

The New York Jets will become Mark Sanchez’ team at some point in the early part of this year.  And once they do, there will be a very rare NFL grace period.  There is perhaps no other team that could go 5-11 this year and produce long-term optimism within the fanbase, but such is the case of the 2009 New York Jets.

Call it the allure of Mark Sanchez.  Jets fans want to see this man play, and they want to see him play right away.  If he struggles, they will give him a hard time, but when they open the 2010 season, there will be plenty of 11 and 12 win predictions for Rex Ryan’s Jets.  In fact, the only “wrong” decision in the eyes of many would be to give Kellen Clemens the job.

Here’s the fun part: if the Jets truly think they can win this year, don’t they have to give the keys to the 4-year vet?  I know, I know, Rex Ryan coached a defense that won with a rookie QB last year, but there were few expectations in Baltimore last year, and the Ravens surprised a bunch of people.  Now, the Jets were a 9-7 team last year with Brett Favre at quarterback, and as recently as last November, they were being hailed as the AFC’s premier team.  A 1-4 finish help kick-start a rebuilding project.

This is a team with a very strong offensive line, more than capable of protecting a rookie quarterback like Sanchez, and opening up gaping holes in the running game, but if you look at the passing weapons, there is not much there for any quarterback.  In this aspect, the team is basically set up for a rookie quarterback: few reads, get the ball out of his hand quickly, and pound the rock whenever in doubt.  But there’s only so much you can squeeze out of an offense like that.

When you build an offense to develop with it’s rookie quarterback, you might as well play the rookie, but there’s some reason to think that the Jets might be passing a great opportunity to compete now.  When I put them to the QDS test, they scored a 10, making them an average team.  Not to suggest any sort of infallibility here, but that suggests they are on level ground with the Jaguars and Bengals, and just a hair behind the Texans and Ravens for the 6th playoff spot in the AFC.  That’s a 15-30% shot at the playoffs, a better chance than either the Dolphins or the Bills have this year.

The reason, the concentration of the talent on this team, is on the Jets’ defense.  Kris Jenkins returns as a dominant 3-4 nose tackle.  He wore down at the end of last season as the Jets defense declined from it’s period of dominance in November to the team that was lit up by the Broncos, 49ers, and Seahawks.  But this year, he will be protecting one of the best 3-4 ILB duos, as David Harris returns and will be paired with free agent signing Bart Scott.  When the strength of the front seven gets combined with a shutdown corner in Darrell Revis, and a top safety pair in Kerry Rhodes and Jim Leonhard, we’re talking about a top half defense with the ability to be a top ten unit if Rex Ryan is as good as advertised.

The weakness on the unit is much-maligned CB Lito Sheppard, who comes over in a trade from Philadelphia.  At only 28 years of age, Sheppard has been to two pro-bowls, most recently in 2006.  But in the last two seasons, Sheppard has been beyond awful.  It’s the same scheme he played in he was a pro bowler, so maybe Rex Ryan thinks he can bring him back from the verge of busting, but Sheppard should be a very frequent target for quarterbacks this season, and will negate much of the strength of the secondary.

The other wild card on the defense is second year pass rusher Vernon Gholston.  With Calvin Pace suspended for the first four games of the year, Gholston might only have one chance to save himself from bustville.  He recorded no sacks, no hits, and no quarterback pressures last year, though that’s a little misleading.  He wasn’t asked to rush as often as he would have liked, and then when he didn’t produce in limited time, he saw his playing time cut.  His college production suggests success at this level, but when Pace gets back, the window of opportunity might have closed on Gholston.

The 2009 Jets are an interesting case study.  The Baltimore Ravens were a playoff team last year.  Now, what if you take that team, take the No. 2 defense and reduce it’s quality by 50-75%, then center the offense mostly around the quarterback instead of around the running game.  That’s the Jets this year.  11 wins?  Not happening.  8 or 9 wins?  Maybe.  6 or 7 wins?  That’s more like it.

Jets Camp, Cortland, NY

There’s a lot of undrafted players on this team, both from last year’s roster and this year’s signings.  Rex Ryan will have to separate the men from the boys throughout the rest of this camp.

Wide Receiver: Brad Smith vs. Aundrae Allison vs. Wallace Wright

Brad Smith was a Mangini pick in 2006 who hasn’t developed as a receiver, and is at risk of losing the 4th WR job to Allison, who was picked up after he was put on waivers by the Vikings.  They could hold onto him as a 5th receiver/special teamer, but would they do so at the expense of Wallace Wright, who held the role last year?  Smith is very much on the bubble.

Tight End: Jack Simmons vs. Kareem Brown vs. Kevin Brock

I have never heard of any of these guys, and in the 3 WR base sets the Jets will run, a second TE is not all that important, much less a third tight end, but behind Bubba Franks and Dustin Keller, you’d think there would have been room on this team for someone with name recognition, no?

Guard: Stanley Daniels vs. Matt Slauson vs. Nevin McCaskill

All three of these guys were undrafted, and Daniels has the most playing experience of the group, but one of these guys is going to be looking for work within a week and a half.

Defensive End: Mike DeVito vs. Ropati Pitoitua vs. Zach Potter

Potter is a prospect as a defensive end in the 3-4, but Pitoitua is the one who is making the most noise in camp, he’s up at No. 2 on the depth chart, which isn’t good for Potter.  Would the Jets go with two inexperienced backups at the DE position?  If so, DeVito might be on the bubble.  He’s the most physically limited of the three, but played a lot last season for Eric Mangini.

Defensive Tackle: Sione Pouha vs. Howard Green

Pouha was a Herm Edwards pick who really has developed over the last two years, working his way onto the second team by 2007.  Howard Green was a 4-3 nose tackle on three teams previously, most recently with the Seattle Seahawks, but he hasn’t started a game since 2004 with the Saints.  He was brought in to push people at two positions, and he’ll do that, though I’m not expecting him to make the team.

Inside Linebacker: Brandon Renkart vs. Jamaal Westerman vs. Kenwin Cummings

Not one member of this group has seen a live NFL snap.  You have some experienced practice squad guys, and an undrafted rookie, so who fills out the back of Rex Ryan’s 53 man roster, if anyone, is your best guess.

Cornerback: Donald Strickland vs. Ahmad Carroll vs. Drew Coleman

Strickland was signed when the 49ers let him go earlier this week.  He’s the front runner for the 4th CB spot.  Drew Coleman has way more upside than Ahmad Carroll, who has been a complete bust since the Packers took him in the first round of the 2002 draft.  His career is likely over if he can’t make the roster.

Surprise Cuts?

• QB Kellen Clemens
• FB Tony Richardson
• LB Larry Izzo
• CB Dwight Lowery
• S Eric Smith